Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Domi 49.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 58.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 65.5%
Neutral zone
Domi 59.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Spezza
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Spezza
Domi
Last 6: Spezza 1-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Spezza
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Spezza
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
47.2% (653)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
57.3% (124)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
54.5% (11)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Spezza shoots right. Domi is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Spezza
Domi
Home
56.0% (175)
49.0% (400)
Away
52.5% (223)
48.7% (388)
By Period
Spezza
Domi
P1
56.8%
48.6%
P2
54.3%
49.6%
P3
50.8%
48.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |