Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Domi 48.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Spezza
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Spezza
Domi
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Domi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.1% (4,296)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.4% (633)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.8% (41)
+3.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Home / Away
Spezza
Domi
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Spezza
Domi
P1
55.7%
48.7%
P2
54.4%
48.3%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
51.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |