Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Talbot 45.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 95.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 87.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Spezza
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Spezza
Talbot
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
0
Spezza
Talbot
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Spezza
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Spezza
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
45.1% (450)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
50.0% (20)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
40.5% (163)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Talbot is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Spezza
Talbot
Home
56.4% (853)
47.8% (295)
Away
50.5% (847)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Spezza
Talbot
P1
53.4%
47.0%
P2
54.2%
41.5%
P3
53.4%
44.5%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |