Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Chaput 50.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Spezza
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Chaput
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Chaput
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
52.4% (210)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
42.4% (33)
+17.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Chaput is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Spezza
Chaput
Home
58.2% (376)
52.6% (133)
Away
58.2% (431)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Spezza
Chaput
P1
63.3%
46.6%
P2
54.9%
50.6%
P3
57.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |