Jason Spezza vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 33 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 49-38 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Spezza
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
49
(87 meetings)
38
49
Spezza
Backlund
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
15
10
Spezza
Backlund
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
10
23
Spezza
Backlund
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
13
16
Spezza
Backlund
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.7% (13,410)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
51.6% (1,336)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.0% (2,446)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Spezza
Backlund
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Spezza
Backlund
P1
55.7%
48.5%
P2
54.4%
50.3%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
51.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |