Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Santorelli 54.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 50.9%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 53.3%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 51.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Spezza
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Santorelli
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Spezza
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
59.6% (89)
-5.1%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
60.0% (5)
+15.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Spezza is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spezza shoots right. Santorelli is 75.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Spezza
Santorelli
Home
62.2% (45)
62.3% (53)
Away
54.1% (74)
56.1% (41)
By Period
Spezza
Santorelli
P1
58.7%
51.6%
P2
64.1%
70.6%
P3
46.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |