Jason Spezza vs Mike Santorelli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 66.0%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 66.4%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 65.2%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Spezza
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Spezza
Santorelli
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
4
8
Spezza
Santorelli
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Santorelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
4
5
Spezza
Santorelli
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.4% (1,835)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.0% (298)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.5% (132)
+4.2%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
Spezza
Santorelli
Home
56.8% (5,066)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Spezza
Santorelli
P1
55.7%
51.0%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
54.1%
47.6%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |