Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 56.4%). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Thompson 55.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 68.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 83.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Spezza
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Thompson
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Spezza
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
57.7% (482)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
100.0% (2)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.9% (154)
-1.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Thompson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Spezza
Thompson
Home
61.4% (352)
59.0% (327)
Away
50.9% (395)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Spezza
Thompson
P1
60.6%
54.2%
P2
54.8%
61.3%
P3
52.5%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |