Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Kadri 48.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 33-24 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 80.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Spezza
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
24
(57 meetings)
33
24
Spezza
Kadri
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
15
9
Spezza
Kadri
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
5
Spezza
Kadri
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
10
Spezza
Kadri
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.2% (12,510)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.0% (1,892)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.0% (293)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kadri
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Spezza
Kadri
P1
55.7%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
48.8%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
OT
51.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |