Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Kadri 49.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 64.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Spezza
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Spezza
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
50.2% (849)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
50.6% (235)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
43.0% (93)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kadri
Home
55.0% (282)
48.5% (557)
Away
50.8% (295)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Spezza
Kadri
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
53.2%
51.3%
P3
52.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |