Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Kadri 49.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 73.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 69.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Spezza
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Spezza
Kadri
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
5
Spezza
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Spezza
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Spezza
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
47.7% (1,087)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
56.9% (195)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
54.5% (22)
+2.6%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Kadri is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kadri
Home
57.5% (518)
51.1% (664)
Away
51.8% (463)
47.2% (640)
By Period
Spezza
Kadri
P1
55.4%
48.9%
P2
54.1%
48.1%
P3
55.5%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
59.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |