Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 59.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Spezza
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Spezza
Foligno
Last 6: Spezza 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Spezza
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
47.0% (202)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
57.9% (95)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
40.9% (22)
+31.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Spezza shoots right. Foligno is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Spezza
Foligno
Home
56.0% (175)
50.6% (162)
Away
52.5% (223)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Spezza
Foligno
P1
56.8%
48.9%
P2
54.3%
47.8%
P3
50.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |