Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Foligno 51.8% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Spezza
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
58.1% (31)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
50.0% (2)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
50.0% (6)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Spezza
Foligno
Home
55.0% (282)
56.3% (16)
Away
50.8% (295)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Spezza
Foligno
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
66.7%
P3
52.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%