Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Spaling 49.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 64.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Spezza
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Spezza
Spaling
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Spaling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
4
Spezza
Spaling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Spezza
Spaling
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.5% (2,263)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
43.4% (53)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.0% (498)
+4.7%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Spezza
Spaling
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Spezza
Spaling
P1
55.7%
49.8%
P2
54.4%
48.3%
P3
54.1%
52.0%
OT
51.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |