Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 73.4%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 58.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 73.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Spezza
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Spezza
Suzuki
Last 9: Spezza 2-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Spezza
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Spezza
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
43.8% (623)
+14.1%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
48.1% (129)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
34.1% (44)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Spezza is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Spezza shoots right. Suzuki is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Spezza
Suzuki
Home
58.4% (238)
44.8% (364)
Away
55.5% (245)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Spezza
Suzuki
P1
59.2%
45.8%
P2
54.8%
42.3%
P3
57.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |