Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 58.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 53.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Spezza
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Spezza
Suzuki
Last 9: Spezza 4-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Spezza
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
50.3% (1,075)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
49.3% (219)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
43.1% (116)
-4.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Spezza
Suzuki
Home
55.0% (282)
53.6% (711)
Away
50.8% (295)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Spezza
Suzuki
P1
53.1%
48.5%
P2
53.2%
51.7%
P3
52.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |