Jason Spezza vs Nicklas Backstrom
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.6%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Backstrom 53.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 61.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 58.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Spezza
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Backstrom
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Spezza
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
54.1% (1,314)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
56.2% (169)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.4% (126)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Backstrom is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Spezza
Backstrom
Home
56.4% (626)
57.7% (799)
Away
51.7% (636)
49.5% (810)
By Period
Spezza
Backstrom
P1
56.9%
54.7%
P2
51.9%
51.7%
P3
53.9%
54.2%
OT
46.2%
58.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |