Jason Spezza vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 76.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Spezza
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Spezza
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
47.0% (541)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
47.4% (95)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
15.4% (13)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Spezza
Backstrom
Home
55.0% (282)
48.5% (328)
Away
50.8% (295)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Spezza
Backstrom
P1
53.1%
44.8%
P2
53.2%
42.9%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |