Jason Spezza vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 57.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 57.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 57.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Spezza
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Backstrom
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Spezza
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Spezza
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
48.5% (1,151)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
50.0% (176)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.2% (112)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Spezza shoots right. Backstrom is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Spezza
Backstrom
Home
58.2% (376)
50.8% (783)
Away
58.2% (431)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Spezza
Backstrom
P1
63.3%
49.3%
P2
54.9%
46.6%
P3
57.4%
50.1%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |