Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.6%). Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 70.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Spezza
Bergeron
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
5
Spezza
Bergeron
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
5
Spezza
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
6
Spezza
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
57.3% (1,041)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
60.4% (149)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
51.3% (234)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
56.6% (532)
59.8% (682)
Away
56.0% (678)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
58.8%
58.2%
P2
59.6%
58.1%
P3
50.4%
54.5%
OT
57.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |