Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 71.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 77.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 74.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Spezza
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
63.8% (1,102)
-10.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
65.3% (288)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
47.6% (210)
-9.4%
On power play, Bergeron has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
55.0% (282)
62.5% (882)
Away
50.8% (295)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
53.1%
62.5%
P2
53.2%
62.7%
P3
52.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |