Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 35-22 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 71.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 88.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Spezza
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
22
(57 meetings)
35
22
Spezza
Bergeron
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
18
4
Spezza
Bergeron
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
7
10
Spezza
Bergeron
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
8
Spezza
Bergeron
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
61.6% (1,186)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
52.2% (201)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
54.6% (240)
-5.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spezza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Spezza shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bergeron
Home
56.4% (853)
61.7% (828)
Away
50.5% (847)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Spezza
Bergeron
P1
53.4%
58.5%
P2
54.2%
61.8%
P3
53.4%
57.8%
OT
44.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |