Jason Spezza vs Patrik Berglund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Berglund 48.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 31-28 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 65.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Spezza
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
28
(59 meetings)
31
28
Spezza
Berglund
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
16
7
Spezza
Berglund
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
4
9
Spezza
Berglund
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
11
12
Spezza
Berglund
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.0% (4,697)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
51.3% (548)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
43.2% (461)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Spezza
Berglund
Home
56.8% (5,066)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Spezza
Berglund
P1
55.7%
49.3%
P2
54.4%
48.2%
P3
54.1%
49.0%
OT
51.5%
39.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |