Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Elias 42.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 91.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 89.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 90.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Spezza
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Spezza
Elias
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Elias
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
40.2% (562)
+13.7%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
49.3% (71)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
34.1% (44)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Elias is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Spezza
Elias
Home
55.8% (695)
39.9% (318)
Away
52.2% (741)
41.5% (359)
By Period
Spezza
Elias
P1
50.3%
42.0%
P2
54.7%
38.6%
P3
56.0%
41.1%
OT
73.7%
45.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |