Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Spezza
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
59.2% (370)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
40.9% (44)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
51.7% (58)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Spezza
Stastny
Home
55.0% (282)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.8% (295)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Spezza
Stastny
P1
53.1%
57.7%
P2
53.2%
54.2%
P3
52.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%