Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.5%). Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Datsyuk 54.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Spezza
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Spezza
Datsyuk
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
4
Spezza
Datsyuk
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
5
8
Spezza
Datsyuk
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
5
Spezza
Datsyuk
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.3% (4,336)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
58.8% (1,120)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
55.8% (505)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Datsyuk is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,157).
Home / Away
Spezza
Datsyuk
Home
56.8% (5,066)
55.9% (2,962)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
53.0% (3,032)
By Period
Spezza
Datsyuk
P1
55.7%
54.1%
P2
54.4%
54.4%
P3
54.1%
54.8%
OT
51.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |