Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Mueller 47.1% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 87.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 83.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 79.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Spezza
Mueller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Spezza
Mueller
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Mueller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
0
Spezza
Mueller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Mueller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Mueller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Mueller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
41.8% (79)
+12.7%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
52.0% (25)
+23.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mueller shoots right. Spezza is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spezza shoots right. Mueller is 35.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Spezza
Mueller
Home
62.2% (45)
43.9% (66)
Away
54.1% (74)
44.7% (38)
By Period
Spezza
Mueller
P1
58.7%
53.3%
P2
64.1%
42.5%
P3
46.9%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Mueller
42.0%▼
45.6%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Mueller |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Peter Mueller |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |