Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Danault 52.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Spezza
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Spezza
Danault
Last 9: Spezza 4-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Spezza
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Spezza
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
55.1% (720)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
50.0% (20)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
41.3% (167)
+11.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Spezza
Danault
Home
58.4% (238)
54.5% (442)
Away
55.5% (245)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Spezza
Danault
P1
59.2%
53.8%
P2
54.8%
54.2%
P3
57.4%
49.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |