Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Danault 53.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Spezza
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Spezza
Danault
Last 5: Spezza 0-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Spezza
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Spezza
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Spezza
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
54.0% (985)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
61.1% (131)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
43.8% (146)
-5.6%
On power play, Danault has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Spezza
Danault
Home
55.0% (282)
54.7% (636)
Away
50.8% (295)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Spezza
Danault
P1
53.1%
54.1%
P2
53.2%
54.3%
P3
52.3%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |