Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.5%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 57.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 63.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Spezza
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Spezza
Sheahan
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
3
Spezza
Sheahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
5
Spezza
Sheahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
5
Spezza
Sheahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.0% (4,968)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.6% (322)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.3% (1,068)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Spezza
Sheahan
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Spezza
Sheahan
P1
55.7%
51.3%
P2
54.4%
51.2%
P3
54.1%
48.1%
OT
51.5%
35.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |