Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.7%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 69.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Spezza
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Spezza
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
50.7% (357)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
50.0% (8)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
40.2% (194)
-2.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Sheahan is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Spezza
Sheahan
Home
55.0% (282)
44.8% (248)
Away
50.8% (295)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Spezza
Sheahan
P1
53.1%
46.2%
P2
53.2%
50.5%
P3
52.3%
44.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |