Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Hartman 47.2% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 50.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Spezza
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Hartman
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Spezza
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
45.8% (190)
+10.6%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
36.4% (11)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Spezza is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Spezza shoots right. Hartman is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hartman
Home
61.4% (352)
51.8% (112)
Away
50.9% (395)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Spezza
Hartman
P1
60.6%
44.2%
P2
54.8%
44.1%
P3
52.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |