Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 60.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 67.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Spezza
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Spezza
Hartman
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Spezza
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
45.2% (4,235)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
47.4% (443)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.4% (262)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hartman
Home
56.8% (5,066)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Spezza
Hartman
P1
55.7%
46.0%
P2
54.4%
42.9%
P3
54.1%
46.8%
OT
51.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |