Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Bennett 48.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 57.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 68.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Spezza
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Bennett
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Spezza
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
46.8% (235)
+11.1%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
64.3% (14)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
41.7% (12)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Bennett is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bennett
Home
58.4% (238)
43.4% (122)
Away
55.5% (245)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Spezza
Bennett
P1
59.2%
56.5%
P2
54.8%
42.6%
P3
57.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |