Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 79.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 79.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Spezza
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Spezza
Bennett
Last 9: Spezza 6-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.8% (5,683)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.7% (555)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.8% (256)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bennett
Home
56.8% (5,066)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Spezza
Bennett
P1
55.7%
48.0%
P2
54.4%
46.5%
P3
54.1%
46.9%
OT
51.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |