Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 83.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Spezza
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Spezza
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Spezza
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
51.3% (158)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
66.7% (36)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
33.6% (110)
+4.6%
On power play, Gagner has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Spezza
Gagner
Home
55.0% (282)
53.2% (154)
Away
50.8% (295)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Spezza
Gagner
P1
53.1%
35.6%
P2
53.2%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |