Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Couturier 48.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 85.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Spezza
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spezza
Couturier
Last 9: Spezza 7-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
48.9% (919)
+4.3%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
44.0% (84)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
50.0% (102)
+7.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Couturier is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couturier
Home
57.5% (518)
51.4% (592)
Away
51.8% (463)
45.4% (513)
By Period
Spezza
Couturier
P1
55.4%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
49.0%
P3
55.5%
47.3%
OT
25.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
59.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |