Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 52-45 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 60.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Spezza
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
45
(97 meetings)
52
45
Spezza
Couturier
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
8
Spezza
Couturier
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
12
16
Spezza
Couturier
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
23
21
Spezza
Couturier
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.5% (11,063)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
59.7% (1,280)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
48.5% (1,816)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couturier
Home
56.8% (5,066)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Spezza
Couturier
P1
55.7%
52.5%
P2
54.4%
52.6%
P3
54.1%
52.9%
OT
51.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |