Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 35 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 48-34 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 70.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 69.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
34
(82 meetings)
48
34
Spezza
Monahan
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
21
14
Spezza
Monahan
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
18
15
Spezza
Monahan
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
5
Spezza
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.1% (11,356)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.7% (2,580)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
46.0% (766)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
55.7%
50.9%
P2
54.4%
51.7%
P3
54.1%
51.0%
OT
51.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |