Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.1%). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 50.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Spezza
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
51.5% (641)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
62.8% (129)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
33.3% (9)
+4.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
55.0% (282)
53.9% (362)
Away
50.8% (295)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
53.1%
48.0%
P2
53.2%
57.0%
P3
52.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |