Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Monahan 49.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 88.5%
Defensive zone
Spezza 60.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 69.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Spezza
Monahan
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
4
Spezza
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
2
Spezza
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
49.0% (1,435)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
50.2% (281)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
50.9% (114)
-0.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
56.4% (626)
51.2% (936)
Away
51.7% (636)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
56.9%
48.8%
P2
51.9%
48.9%
P3
53.9%
50.2%
OT
46.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |