Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Monahan 51.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 56.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Spezza
Monahan
Last 10: Spezza 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Spezza
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
52.1% (1,301)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
50.3% (342)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
38.5% (96)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
57.5% (518)
52.7% (875)
Away
51.8% (463)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
55.4%
51.0%
P2
54.1%
51.8%
P3
55.5%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |