Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Monahan 49.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 88.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 73.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Spezza
Monahan
Last 10: Spezza 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
9
Spezza
Monahan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
1
Spezza
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
46.4% (532)
+11.5%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
59.1% (132)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
50.0% (30)
+2.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
58.4% (238)
49.0% (355)
Away
55.5% (245)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
59.2%
49.8%
P2
54.8%
46.6%
P3
57.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |