Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.4%). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 69.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 54.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Spezza
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Spezza
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
50.8% (1,169)
+2.9%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
60.2% (261)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
45.0% (20)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Spezza
Crosby
Home
55.0% (282)
53.2% (726)
Away
50.8% (295)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Spezza
Crosby
P1
53.1%
51.3%
P2
53.2%
52.1%
P3
52.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |