Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Gionta 42.3% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.0%
Defensive zone
Gionta 60.2%
Neutral zone
Gionta 51.4%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Spezza
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spezza
Gionta
Last 6: Spezza 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Spezza
Gionta
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
40.5% (526)
+13.4%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
50.0% (2)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
45.3% (53)
+7.5%
On even strength, Spezza has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Spezza is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Spezza shoots right. Gionta is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Spezza
Gionta
Home
55.8% (695)
46.3% (300)
Away
52.2% (741)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Spezza
Gionta
P1
50.3%
41.8%
P2
54.7%
42.0%
P3
56.0%
38.7%
OT
73.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |