Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Gionta 41.2% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Gionta leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 74.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 72.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 56.4%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Spezza
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Spezza
Gionta
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Spezza
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Gionta
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
7
8
Spezza
Gionta
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
40.6% (1,902)
+13.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
61.5% (26)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
40.1% (292)
+12.6%
On even strength, Spezza has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Spezza
Gionta
Home
56.8% (5,066)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Spezza
Gionta
P1
55.7%
40.8%
P2
54.4%
41.8%
P3
54.1%
39.8%
OT
51.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |