Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Gionta 48.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 57.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 54.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Spezza
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Gionta
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
47.7% (86)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
50.0% (2)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
43.8% (32)
+1.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Spezza is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Spezza shoots right. Gionta is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Spezza
Gionta
Home
53.7% (374)
48.0% (50)
Away
50.3% (304)
45.7% (70)
By Period
Spezza
Gionta
P1
50.2%
55.8%
P2
50.2%
40.5%
P3
56.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |