Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Ott 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 66.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Spezza
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Ott
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Spezza
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
59.6% (228)
-6.6%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
71.4% (7)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
38.8% (49)
+11.2%
On power play, Ott has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Ott is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ott
Home
56.4% (626)
61.9% (126)
Away
51.7% (636)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Spezza
Ott
P1
56.9%
65.4%
P2
51.9%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
55.1%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |