Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.5%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Ott 55.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 25-16 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 70.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 80.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 52.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Spezza
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
16
(41 meetings)
25
16
Spezza
Ott
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
18
3
Spezza
Ott
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
6
Spezza
Ott
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
6
7
Spezza
Ott
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
57.2% (2,802)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.4% (567)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
49.9% (853)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ott
Home
56.8% (5,066)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Spezza
Ott
P1
55.7%
56.7%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
55.7%
OT
51.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2013 | OT | 04:03 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2013 | OT | 00:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |