Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Brent 51.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.4%
Defensive zone
Brent 56.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 59.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Spezza
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Spezza
Brent
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
1
Spezza
Brent
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
2
3
Spezza
Brent
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Brent
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
52.8% (563)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
54.5% (22)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
51.0% (198)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Brent is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Spezza
Brent
Home
56.6% (532)
50.5% (384)
Away
56.0% (678)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Spezza
Brent
P1
58.8%
54.9%
P2
59.6%
52.5%
P3
50.4%
48.7%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 19, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |